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Galactic Rotation Curves from the de Sitter Horizon Temperature

10.5281/zenodo.18806314

The MOND acceleration constant a₀ ≈ 1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s² is numerically close to cH₀/(2π) — the acceleration associated with the Gibbons–Hawking temperature of the cosmological horizon. This repository tests that coincidence quantitatively against 171 galaxies from the SPARC database and 14 high-redshift galaxies from Genzel et al. (2017, 2020) and Übler et al. (2017).

Key Result

The derived constant a_u = cH₀/(2π) = 1.04 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s² outperforms the empirical a₀ = 1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s² — including within MOND's own interpolation function.

Fit quality (171 SPARC galaxies)

Configuration Med χ²/ν Global free params
MOND simple + a_u 1.41 0
Holographic + a_u 1.45 0
MOND standard + a₀ 1.52 1
Holographic + a₀ 1.53 1
MOND simple + a₀ 1.53 1

2×2 Isolation test

Comparison Winner Win rate
a_u vs a₀ in MOND simple (same function) a_u 102/171 (59.6%)
a_u vs a₀ in Holographic (same function) a_u 104/171 (60.8%)
Holographic vs MOND at a₀ (same scale) Holographic 113/171 (66.1%)
Holographic vs MOND at a_u (same scale) Holographic 109/171 (63.7%)

Both the acceleration scale and the interpolation function independently improve fits. The scale improvement is demonstrable within MOND's own functional form.

Robustness

The result holds across all error treatments, including raw observational errors with no floor applied (108/171, 63.2% win rate).

High-redshift test

14 galaxies at z = 0.9–2.5 from Genzel et al. and Übler et al. show declining outer rotation curves. The a_u(z) framework predicts this: stronger acceleration at high z shrinks the transition radius, leaving the outer galaxy in the Keplerian decline regime. Observed turnover radii cluster tightly around the predicted transition radius r_t(z) = √(GM_b/a_u(z)), with median r_turn/r_t = 0.80.

Standard MOND (constant a₀) predicts the opposite — flat rotation at larger radii at high z.

Repository structure

sparc-gibbons-hawking/
├── README.md
├── LICENSE
├── paper/
│   └── manuscript.md             # Full paper (markdown)
├── scripts/
│   ├── sparc_holographic_fit.py  # Primary 171-galaxy analysis
│   ├── isolation_test.py         # 2×2 scale vs function separation
│   ├── robustness.py             # 5 error treatment tests
│   └── high_z_analysis.py        # High-z rotation curve test
└── results/
    ├── fit_summary.csv           # Per-galaxy results (all models)
    ├── global_statistics.txt     # Summary statistics
    ├── highz_summary.txt         # High-z analysis summary
    ├── sparc_figures/            # 7 SPARC figures (PNG + PDF)
    └── highz_figures/            # 5 high-z figures (PNG + PDF)

Requirements

pip install numpy scipy matplotlib

Data

Download SPARC mass models from http://astroweb.cwru.edu/SPARC/

Required file: MassModels_Lelli2016c.mrt (Newtonian Mass Models, Table 2)

Place in a SPARC/ directory alongside the scripts, or edit the file path in each script.

Usage

Primary analysis (171 galaxies, 3 models)

python scripts/sparc_holographic_fit.py

2×2 isolation test (scale vs. function)

python scripts/isolation_test.py

Robustness check (5 error treatments)

python scripts/robustness.py

High-redshift analysis

python scripts/high_z_analysis.py

The physics

In de Sitter spacetime, the cosmological horizon has a Gibbons–Hawking temperature T_GH = ℏH/(2πk_B). The associated acceleration is:

a_u = k_B T_GH / (ℏ/c) = cH₀/(2π) ≈ 1.04 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s²

This is not fitted. It is derived from H₀ = 67.4 km/s/Mpc alone.

The holographic interpolation function:

g_eff = g_N / (1 − exp(−√(|g_N|/a_u)))

has the same Newtonian and deep-MOND limits as standard MOND but transitions more sharply. The 2×2 test shows that both the scale (a_u vs a₀) and the function (holographic vs MOND simple) independently improve fits.

Falsifiable prediction

a_u(z) = cH(z)/(2π)

At z = 1: a_u ≈ 1.8× local. At z = 2: a_u ≈ 3.0× local.

This predicts:

  • Transition radius shrinks at high z: r_t(z) = √(GM_b/a_u(z))
  • Outer rotation curves decline at high z (observed by Genzel et al.)
  • BTFR zero-point evolves with H(z)

MOND predicts no evolution (a₀ = constant). CDM predicts halo-dependent evolution unrelated to H(z).

Citation

If you use this code or results, please cite the SPARC database:

  • Lelli, McGaugh & Schombert, Astron. J. 152, 157 (2016)

License

MIT

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Galactic-Rotation-Curves-from-the-de-Sitter-Horizon, Gibbons–Hawking temperature of the de Sitter horizon

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